Ghana Cedi forecast to end the year within ¢6.14 and ¢6.32 per dollar

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fthghana July 29, 2021
Updated 2021/07/29 at 8:13 AM
Ghana Cedi forecast to end the year within ¢6.14 and ¢6.32 per dollar, FTHGhana.net

Fitch Solutions, research arm of ratings agency, Fitch and Databank Research are forecasting slightly different end year rate of the cedi to the dollar as most forex bureaux are selling the local currency at ¢6 to a dollar.

Whilst Fitch Solutions is projecting ¢6.32 pesewas to a dollar by the end of the year, Databank Research is predicting ¢6.14 pesewas, about 3 percentage point’s depreciation.

Fitch attributed a rebound of the global economy which will stimulate economic activities, as the rationale behind its end-year cedi to dollar rate of ¢6.32, a little above 4% depreciation.

Forex Bureaux sell dollar at ¢6

Joy Business gathered that the forex bureaux begun selling the local currency at ¢6 to a dollar almost one month ago though it is going for about ¢5.94 pesewas on the interbank forex market.

This is because demand for the American currency has shot up.

However, the pricing could have even been higher, but for the intervention of the Bank of Ghana whose bi-weekly Forex Forward Auction has aided the supply of dollars to the market to meet the rising demand.

Despite all this, the cedi has lost only about 0.6% so far this year, according to the Central Bank.

Most analysts believe the outlook is promising despite the recent pressures. This is largely because of the expected improved exports, strong international reserves and the upcoming COCOBOD syndication in September this year.

Cedi depreciates only 0.6% to dollar in 7-months of 2021 – BoG

The Bank of Ghana said the Ghana cedi lost a paltry 0.6% to the US dollar.

According to the Central Bank, the cedi recorded 0.5% gain in April 2021, same as March 2021 and 0.2% appreciation in May 2021.

In June 2021, it however registered no change in value to the American ‘greenback’ but lost 0.6% in value to the world’s most important currency.

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